A leading researcher at Meta’s Superintelligence Labs says technology is rapidly advancing to a level where the cost of intelligence is zero.
Speaking at the Stanford AI Club, Jason Wei, one of the researchers behind large-scale reasoning work at Meta, says advances in adaptive compute are ushering in an era where intelligence becomes as accessible as electricity or data bandwidth.
According to Wei, AI has surpassed the early frontier stage, or a phase when systems can’t perform tasks effectively. He says AI is now in the second phase, where AI gains an ability that can be commoditized.
Using the Massive Multitask Language Understanding (MMLU) metric, the Meta researcher notes that using a model with a particular level of intelligence decreases every year.
“Why might this trend continue? And the argument that I would make, um, is that it’s the first time in the history of deep learning that adaptive compute actually truly works. So if you look at maybe the entirety of deep learning up to last year, we were in sort of this mode where the amount of compute you would use to do a particular problem would be fixed regardless of how hard the problem was, whether it was giving the capital of California or a very hard competition math problem. But now we’re in this era of adaptive compute, where you can vary the amount of compute used to do your task.”
To illustrate, Wei points to how the time needed to retrieve information has collapsed — from hours in the library era to minutes or seconds online and now to near-zero latency through AI interfaces.
“So, for example, if you wanted to know, what was the population of Busan in 1983? Before the internet, you’d probably have to drive to the library and then look in a bunch of encyclopedias to find that… In the internet era you’d have to search, and then you kind of like browse the websites to find the one that actually gives you
the answer, and that might take minutes. And then now it’s basically instant to get that answer.”
Wei predicts that the trend will continue to the point when knowledge becomes available in a flash.
“The idea of instant knowledge, so anything that’s sort of publicly available information, you’ll be able to get access to that instantly.”
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