Bill Gates says AI has not yet fully hit the US labor market, but he believes the impact is coming soon and will reshape both white-collar and blue-collar work.
Speaking in a CNBC interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos, the Microsoft co-founder outlines a clear timeline for when AI-driven disruption is likely to become visible across different parts of the economy.
Gates says the current softness in the labor market has not been decisively driven by AI so far, but warns that the next several years will look very different, especially for office-based roles.
“Maybe not to date, but two years from now, four years from now, particularly in the white-collar area, yes. The world will be more efficient and free up resources to do other things.”
Gates adds that automation will not stop with white-collar roles. As robotics and autonomous systems mature, physical and transportation-based jobs will face similar pressures.
“As robots come along, then you’ll see the same thing over in the blue-collar space. As autonomous driving comes along, you’ll see that in that particular vertical.”
Despite the disruption, Gates says AI is a long-term net positive, arguing that rising productivity gives societies flexibility in how work, leisure and retirement are structured.
“And so productivity will go up, and we get to decide: do we do new things? Do we reduce the work week? Do we let people retire earlier? Eventually, society is better off.”
Gates is not the only one who holds the view that AI will trigger labor disruption. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva also said in Davos that AI is hitting the labor market like a tsunami and countries are not prepared for the tech revolution. Meanwhile, Big Short investor Michael Burry said that even blue-collar workers are not safe from AI.
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